Liu Jianchao met with New Zealand Ambassador to China Maury. According to the website of the International Liaison Department of the CPC Central Committee, on December 9, Liu Jianchao, Minister of the International Liaison Department of the CPC Central Committee, met with the outgoing New Zealand Ambassador to China Maury in Beijing. Liu Jianchao spoke highly of Mao Rui's contribution to the development of China-Singapore relations during his tenure. Liu Jianchao said that since China and Singapore established a comprehensive strategic partnership for 10 years, pragmatic cooperation in various fields has yielded fruitful results. At present, the world situation is uncertain and unstable. China and New Zealand are both in the Asia-Pacific region. A stable and sustainable Sino-New Zealand relationship is conducive to regional and world peace and prosperity. China is willing to work with Singapore to close inter-party exchanges, strengthen political dialogue, deepen pragmatic cooperation in various fields, and promote the stability and far-reaching relations between China and Singapore.Pacific Securities: The historical low of the valuation office of liquor industry is about to be repaired. The Pacific Securities Research Report pointed out that the liquor industry is rationally slowing down, and the valuation office is at a historical low, and it is about to be repaired. Next year, the leading growth target will generally drop to single digits. However, the accumulated inventory risk and pricing pressure still need time to gradually ease after the imbalance between supply and demand has intensified in the past two years and the previous industry bubble has receded. With the economic recovery stimulated by this round of policies and the stabilization of the bottom of the real estate industry, the liquor industry is expected to usher in a wave of recovery. Since 2023, industry differentiation has intensified, but with the improvement of management level and refined channel operation in recent years, excellent wine enterprises have stronger marketing foundation and anti-risk ability compared with previous downward cycles. The price of high-end wine determines the brand position, so the approval price is more important, which depends on the choice of quantity and price and the control of approval price by wine enterprises. Sub-high-end needs to pay more attention to channel risks. The high growth brought by pre-distribution investment needs to be tested in the downward period, and once the channel collapses and stalls, it is difficult to reverse it. Real estate wine pays attention to the growth momentum of internal product structure and the market potential in and around the province. The upgrading speed determines the slope and the ceiling determines the space. Suggested attention: Wuliangye, LU ZHOU LAO JIAO CO.,LTD, Shuijingfang, etc.视觉交易香港收购在香港暂停交易。
CICC interprets the meeting of the Politburo in December: the fiscal policy next year is expected to be significantly higher than this year. CICC issued a document saying that the tone of the Politburo in September will be continued, and this Politburo meeting will further inject confidence into the market, and there will be many new formulations in policy. From the perspective of policy objectives, the demand for growth is more clear, and the expression of "property market and stock market" is also very clear. From the policy direction, expanding domestic demand ranks first, and the tendency to boost consumption and improve people's livelihood is further highlighted. From the policy tone, monetary and fiscal policies are more active, and "extraordinary countercyclical adjustment" is put forward for the first time. In terms of specific policy prospects, we believe that the following aspects are worthy of attention: the intensity of fiscal policy next year is expected to be significantly higher than this year; The loose space of monetary policy may be opened through comprehensive policies, and the structural monetary policy may be significantly overweight; Expand domestic demand in an all-round way, and incremental measures may focus more on consumption; Further promote reform and opening up. Generally speaking, the policy mix is in line with what we judge as "tight credit, loose money and wide finance" in the second half of the financial cycle.Guotai Junan: Actively grasp the double-low and low-premium convertible bonds with high selective price and good flexibility. Guotai Junan said that the probability of short-term risk events is not high, and the liquidity of the domestic stock market is also supported. Considering the A500 opening of positions, the allocation of insurance and wealth management products and the year-end ranking of funds, we should actively prepare for the new year-end rebound of China stock market from December 2024 to January 2025. Actively grasp the new year's rebound, high selective price and good flexibility of double low and low premium convertible bonds.China Xinbao signed a strategic cooperation agreement with the Henan provincial government, and "Henan released" the news of WeChat official account on December 10th. Recently, China Export Credit Insurance Corporation and the Henan provincial people's government signed a strategic cooperation agreement to promote a higher level of opening up in the new era. According to the strategic cooperation agreement, China Xinbao and the Henan Provincial People's Government will give full play to their respective advantages, continuously expand and deepen multi-field and multi-level cooperation in the field of opening up, take various measures to stabilize foreign trade, consolidate traditional markets and expand emerging markets; Actively cultivate and expand foreign trade entities and improve the level of digital trade empowerment and financing facilitation; Expand the new kinetic energy of foreign trade development and create new advantages of cross-border trade hub services in central China; Strengthen the chain stabilization of key industrial chains and actively implement the strategy of "going out"; Deepen the construction of Henan's "Belt and Road" platform mechanism, build an overseas risk prevention and control system, jointly promote the high-quality development of Henan's foreign trade and economic cooperation, and promote Henan's high-level opening up.
Wang Sicong's food company was forcibly held for 148,000 yuan. According to the information of legal proceedings, recently, Shanghai Ai Luo Star Food Co., Ltd. added a piece of information about the person to be executed, with the execution target of more than 148,000 yuan. The enforcement court is Xian 'an District People's Court of Xianning City. Founded in October 2016, the legal representative is Cheng Hua, with a registered capital of about RMB 18.83 million. Its business scope includes food circulation, food additives, packaging materials, cosmetics, electronic products, daily necessities, clothing, shoes and hats, knitwear, leather products, bags and toys. Wang Sicong holds about 20% of the company's shares and serves as the company's supervisor. Tianyan risk information shows that the company also has information on restricting consumption orders and freezing stock rights.Soochow securities: Market sentiment is expected to boost allocation opportunities in pro-cyclical directions. The soochow securities Research Report pointed out that in the short term, policy easing is expected to further heat up, and market sentiment is expected to be boosted. In the short term, it is suggested to pay attention to allocation opportunities in pro-cyclical directions. Before and after the inflection point of previous economic cycles, due to the obvious increase of investors' attention to policies, market transactions at the end of the year often revolve around policy expectations. Compared with 2012, 2014 and 2022, with the gradual landing of macro boots at the end of the year and the beginning of the year, the market style may switch to the broader market in stages. In the short term, the market sentiment will be significantly boosted, and the pro-cyclical style is expected to usher in configuration opportunities.Guotai Junan: Airline naked fares will keep rising year-on-year, and the pressure on oil prices will continue to improve. Guotai Junan Research Report said that the recent trend of passenger flow and load factor conforms to the characteristics of off-season, and is better than the same period in 2023. The pressure on oil prices has improved significantly since the fourth quarter of 2024. In December, the ex-factory price of domestic jet fuel increased slightly by 3% from the previous month and decreased by 17% year-on-year, continuing the downward trend of the central government. Recently, domestic naked fares have kept rising year-on-year, and it is estimated that more than half of the fuel has been reduced, reflecting that the recovery of supply and demand is better than expected, and it is expected that the off-season will greatly reduce losses year-on-year. Considering that the recent decline in international oil prices will be transmitted to China with a delay of about two months, the oil price pressure will continue to improve in the first quarter of 2025. It is predicted that the concentration of passenger flow in Spring Festival travel rush in the first half of 2025 will contribute to the active revenue management of the airline company, and the peak season may show more than expected profit elasticity and catalyze optimistic expectations. Reaffirm the logic of super cycle and long period of aviation equipment. When supply and demand recover, considering the marketization of fares and the slowdown of fleet growth, the profit center can be expected to rise.
Strategy guide
12-13
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide
12-13
Strategy guide
12-13